OTTAWA -- The trains in Germany aren't running on time, and
Bombardier Inc. is to blame, according to the National Post.
That's the contention of Deutsche Bahn AG, a German rail
operator, which says problems with Bombardier and other suppliers,
including Siemens, have resulted in delayed deliveries of new trains
and technical problems, the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung newspaper
reported yesterday. As a result, Deutsche Bahn can't always stick to
its timetables.
The contract dispute is a telling example of
the sorts of hazards facing the company as it increasingly depends
on its railcar division to lead growth this year.
Europe is
the world's most lucrative railcar market, and Bombardier is one of
the three largest players on the continent, along with Siemens and
Alstom.
Over the past decade, the three companies have
consolidated the European market, which until recently was made up
of state enterprises immune from outside competition. But the
industry is still wracked with overcapacity, and inhibited from
closing plants by political pressure and labour-friendly
laws.
"Most of the major European rolling-stock manufacturers
have been struggling to meet profitability" says Robert Preston,
assistant editor of London-based Railway Gazette
International.
While manufacturing has been privatized and
consolidated, the main customers for railcars remain governments.
And each of them seems to have a different set of specifications for
what it wants to run on its rails.
While Bombardier produces
a standard line of regional and business jets, which allows them to
rationalize costs and standardize manufacturing processes, "there
aren't two similar subway cars in the world," says Kenton Freitag,
an analyst with Standard & Poor's. "The non-standardization
brings different types of risk."
That means Bombardier --
whose railcar division is expected to book $8-billion in revenue
this year -- is constantly dealing with new designs on new products,
a labour-intensive process that brings the risk of delays, technical
problems, cost overruns and contract disputes.
Last fall, for
example, Bombardier sued American rail operator Amtrak for more than
$200-million in damages, blaming Amtrak for delays and cost overruns
in a project to produce and deliver high-speed Acela Express trains.
Amtrak in turn accused Bombardier of mismanagement performance
failures, "self-inflicted financial losses" and failure to meet the
terms of their agreement.
In Europe, the company faces the
added complexity of pro-labour laws. They make it more difficult for
the company to lay people off, reducing the flexibility to deal with
the ebb and flow of orders, says Canaccord Capital analyst Bob
Fay.
As a result, earnings are slim to none, and don't show
any sign of improving. In the past five years, the company has
posted margins before interest and taxes of between 1.5% and
-1.5%.
The railcar business faces further challenges in the
wake of Bombardier's decision earlier this month to sue
DaimlerChrysler after buying the auto giant's Adtranz railcar unit
last year. Mr. Fay said Bombardier's revelation the company will
have to pay out $600-million to $700-million to cover
underperforming Adtranz contracts could hurt the division's ability
to improve margins over the next few years.